Jul 22, 2022
We’ve been here before. Inflation skyrocketing. Cost of living increasing. Volatile economic markets. Political turmoil at home. War in Europe. The early 80s, 90s and mid 00’s all experienced economic crises and/or recessionary periods.
As we teeter on the brink in 2022, waiting for 180,000 people to decide the next UK Prime Minister, and the hammer blow that will be the October price cap review potentially forcing millions more into fuel poverty. Now seemed like the perfect time to see how others have previously ridden out crisis and uncertainty.
As then American Express CEO Ken Chenault said in March 2008,
During the 1990s recession, one thing characterised almost all of the worst performing charities - disinvestment in fundraising budgets. These spiralling cuts led to lower income, not only during the recessionary period, but also continuing as markets started to recover.
Conversely, of the top 50 fastest growing charities coming out of the crisis, 45 increased (or at least maintained) their fundraising spend, and 7 of the fastest growing charities did this in the face of falling income at the start of the recession.
Similarly, data pooled from the early 1980s, early 1990s, and 2001 recession years shows that companies that invested in innovation during economic downturns improved their position relative to their competitors during the recovery period.
Responses to our recent state of the nation survey showed a sector appetite (75% of respondents) to invest in innovation in order to build resilience during and coming out of the crisis.
So when you’re probably being pushed to slash spend, cut costs and reduce investment in order to sustain BAU and ride out the storm, how do you make a case for continued or increased investment in innovation?
We’ve got some helpful charity and corporate data and case studies to show the impact of not showing fear in the face of uncertainty, and other lessons to be learned from how others have innovated through a downturn.
The 2008 financial crash, and subsequent recession, caused a significant dent in UK charity income. A March 2010 Charity Commission report found that 59% of charities said they’d been affected by the economic downturn. 62% had seen a reduction in investment income, and 29% in fundraising income. Meanwhile, a third of larger charities had experienced a rise in demand for their services.
NCVO reported on donor behaviour in 2009. It found that the proportion of adults giving to charities in the UK remained roughly the same through the recession at 54%. However, the total amount given declined by 11% in comparison with 2007/8.
Legacy donations also decreased in value as the value of assets like properties and investments fell. Whilst 75% of major donors maintained their giving at the same level and some even reported increasing their giving. Donations from companies crashed, but while there was a dip in trusts and grants income, it recovered quickly.
It took almost a decade for finances to be restored to 2007/8 levels.
Electronic Arts
During the 1979-80 US energy crisis, and the subsequent recession between 1981-82, a senior member of the Apple company – Trip Hawkins – decided to leave the company and back himself to create a new software company. Electronic Arts soon rose to prominence as an early pioneer of the video games industry – and today it is the second largest company within the industry in the USA.
FedEx
At the end of the 1970 recession, FedEx founder Fred Smith developed a concept of a fast and reliable door-to-door delivery service as part of a university project at Yale Business School. The company now has annual revenues of more than £55bn.
Pivoting your business model - Mailchimp
Mailchimp was founded in 2001 during a recession. Their original business model focused on large corporate clients with yearly retainers. But when the Great Recession hit, Mailchimp was forced to pivot. They flipped from yearly retainers to become a freemium business, and rapidly saw their user base and revenue balloon from 85,000 to 450,000 in just one year.
Growing through partnerships - Netflix
Whilst the latest announcements of falling subscriber numbers aren’t great (they’re less than they predicted forecast btw), this isn’t the first recession Netflix has innovated its way through (and we doubt it will be it’s last).
In 2008 Netflix wasn't yet the media giant it is today. In fact, Netflix introduced a new product (the streaming service), around the time of the Great Recession as a response to dying video rental stores.
Then, during 2008 and 2009, the company continued to work on partnerships with organisations like Xbox so people could stream through those devices.
It was these innovations that allowed the company to continue to grow during the economic downturn. In fact, they were increasing memberships and subscriptions during the 2008 recession while other companies were struggling to maintain revenue.
Exploring new markets - Lego
During the 2008 recession, Lego took the bold move to explore and expand into under-saturated global markets. When discretionary spending was down in their main North American market, Lego concentrated its efforts on building revenue and expanding reach in Europe and Asia.
They also started to create licensing deals with big brands such as Star Wars. Partnerships which not only kept the core product fresh, but also enabled them to reach entirely new (and older) audiences of Lego enthusiasts.
These innovations delivered a 63% increase in sales in 2009 and continue to deliver growth in 2022.
Doubling down on innovation - Amazon
Whilst we now live in a world where Amazon is almost untouchable in the space of retail. Back in 2008 they were still finding their feet (having taken 14 years to finally turn a profit in 2002). Instead of disinvesting in innovation and focusing on their core retail business, Amazon decided to go all in and double down, launching a bunch of new products between 2006-2008, including: Amazon Prime, Amazon Kindle and Amazon Web Services (AWS).
(However, not everything was a roaring success. Anyone remember Endless.com or Amazon PayPhrase?)
Returning to core values - Airbnb
For a business built on travel and in-person experiences, the 2020 pandemic and global lockdowns should have been the death knell for Airbnb. However they have survived and weathered the storm by focusing on the core values the business was built on - community.
So what did they actually do? It’s split into three strands: Innovation, Community and Focus.
Innovation:
Community:
Community and connection are at the core of Airbnb’s USP. Whilst the refund policy might have gone down like a lead balloon amongst hosts, they did want to ensure that their host community were also cared for. Airbnb actively supported hosts to deliver pandemic risk mitigation and supported them to feel safe in their properties once travellers started to return.
Focus:
To help weather the immediate impact, Airbnb instigated a renewed focus on cost management, including a cut in marketing spend and a refocus on promoting local, non-urban destinations that didn’t rely on cross-border air travel.
They also abandoned some experiments to expand the Airbnb offer, and focused on their community value - facilitating transactions between hosts and guests.
Staying open, involved, and active in innovation is actually the less risky move than closing up and trying to weather the storm. Because when the storm ends, the landscape may look a whole lot different.
Understand the environment you’re operating within (a PESTLED analysis is a great place to start). Consider the opportunities, threats and needs that might impact your mission, your donors and your beneficiaries, and outline the changes you might need to make in order to weather these.
Utilise every touchpoint you have to gather insight about supporters and beneficiaries. Having as much live data as possible will help signal new patterns of behaviour.
Review your project and innovation portfolio and re-prioritise based on your PESTLED analysis. Something that may have been a nice to have 8 months ago, could suddenly answer more pressing needs. Press pause on projects where needed to redirect funding. Pausing rather than cancelling projects will allow you to review and reinstate them if they are still relevant once recession passes.
Innovate now to diversify your income. Already seeing an increased demand for your services, or forecasting a surge in the coming months? Prepare early for new appeals.
Ensure your innovation foundation is strong. Keep thinking about the future, not just firefighting what’s in front of you. Because this crisis will pass. So be ready to step into the new landscape when markets recover. By building the foundation for post-crisis growth now, you’ll remain competitive in recovery.
Take a leaf from Airbnb’s books and invest in your supporter community. Even if they can’t support you now, by maintaining those relationships, they’ll come back to you as things improve.
Lastly, don’t be afraid to fail, just fail fast and cheaply. Innovation can not exist in an environment where ideas and theory can not be tested. If you fail to innovate you will eventually fail to thrive.